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The article explores how artificial intelligence (AI) can revolutionize access to financial services, especially credit. It examines historical technological disruptions and their impact on loan assessments. The discussion highlights both the challenges and opportunities while questioning whether AI can level the playing field in financial inclusion.
Understanding AI’s role requires looking at the evolution of loan decision methods through distinct historical periods.
Key Developments and Insights
Soft Information Era: This era relied on manual, qualitative assessments. Personal relationships and the borrower’s social standing were critical. Interviews and physical collateral inspections were fundamental, emphasizing the subjective nature of lending.
Hard Information Era: This period emphasized financial statements and credit reports. The advent of statistical models for credit scoring, pioneered by FICO, marked a shift towards quantitative assessments but often excluded groups reliant on softer information.
Financial Technology Era: Fintech companies leveraged machine learning, big data, and innovative data-driven approaches. Although fintech promised inclusivity, evidence showed mixed outcomes, often targeting the most profitable borrowers and leaving traditional financial exclusions unaddressed.
Generative AI Era: Technologies like natural language processing (NLP), large language models (LLMs), and advanced computer vision are now used for comprehensive data analysis in lending. These technologies have the potential to bridge the gap between hard and soft information. However, the true impact of AI on financial inclusion remains unclear as rigorous evidence is still pending.
Impact and Significance
AI holds promise for enhancing financial inclusion by offering more efficient, personalized financial services. However, it also poses risks due to model opacity and profit-driven goals. Ensuring equitable distribution of AI’s benefits will require careful research, implementation, and supervision.
AI could significantly transform access to finance, but it won’t be a panacea on its own. Addressing challenges and fostering inclusivity will be crucial as AI technologies continue to evolve.
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I’m founder of BizStack at Cagri Sarigoz LLC and a passionate advocate for entrepreneurs.
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