ChatGPT ads are everywhere, but revenue isn’t keeping up

a person holding a cell phone in their hand

OpenAI has done most of the right things to build a real ad business. It expanded ChatGPT advertising to more than 60 countries, added self-service buying, and has been building out the targeting and measurement tools that performance marketers expect before they commit serious budget.

The problem: advertisers are showing up, but the dollars are not following at the pace OpenAI projected. According to The Information, the company is still likely to miss its $2.4 billion advertising revenue target for 2026, despite that growth.

The $1 billion claim under the microscope

OpenAI claimed that less than 200 days after launch, ChatGPT Ads reached a $1 billion annualized revenue run rate. The gap between that number and the $2.4 billion projection casts doubt on whether that run rate held, accelerated, or was measured in a way that flatters the headline.

A $200,000 pilot belongs in a planning meeting, not a revenue forecast. The distinction between advertisers trying the platform and advertisers scaling on it is where the story gets complicated.

The targeting angle worth watching

ChatGPT does offer something traditional ad platforms don’t have in quite the same form: the conversation that happens immediately before an ad appears. That’s a richer intent signal than a keyword search or a browsing history. Whether advertisers learn to use it, and whether OpenAI builds the measurement tools to prove it works, will determine if the gap between advertiser count and ad revenue closes.

The operator takeaway

If you are allocating marketing budget, ChatGPT’s ad inventory is now accessible via self-service in 60+ countries. The platform is early enough that CPMs may be lower than established channels, but measurement is still maturing. Test with a capped budget, not a full channel commitment.

Stay on top of AI & Automation with BizStack Newsletter
BizStack  —  Entrepreneur’s Business Stack
Logo